Betting picks report for Tuesday, January 28, 2020.Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has four free picks in college basketball. Intel for both fantasy football and sports wagering.
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: New Orleans; Villanova, Florida, Virginia Tech, Rutgers
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Golden State, Atlanta, Cleveland UNDER; Virginia Tech, Villanova, George Mason
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Memphis Grizzlies; Georgetown
Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none
Free winning college basketball picks:
Pitt at Duke (-16, 137)
Duke 5th on defense, Pitt 115th on offense
Duke 2nd offense, Pitt 56th defense
Inconsistent freshman Matthew Hurt, 6-9 big man getting into groove for Duke
Pittsburgh little depth in front court and Duke will attack inside
Blue Devils wear them down
Computer projections from three independent sources: Duke 80-57; 77-60; 75-59
Nova (-2,143) at St John’s
Nova 19th in the nation on offensive efficiency, while St. Johns 38th on defense
Nova 46th on defense. St. John’s 100th on offensive efficiency
Red Storm has won 2-of-3 SU in series
Villanova Jermaine Samuels (11.1 points, 5.0 rebounds) is questionable
Home teams that have won three or less of previous 8 yet at least 8 games over .500 463-374-20 (Red Storm)
432-337-16 if not getting more than four points
Computer projections from three independent sources: Villanova 72-70; 73-71; 72-69
The pick: St. John’s +2
The pick: Duke -16
Purdue at Rutgers (-3, 123)
Rutgers No. 6 defense, Purdue 51st offense
Purdue 11th on defense, Rutgers 72nd on offense
Hunted rather than hunter, top 25 for first time since 1979
Big home court edge
Computer projections from three independent sources: Rutgers 58-55; 61-59; 63-58
The pick: UNDER
FSU at UVA (Virginia -1, 115)
Virginia needs signature win as on bubble
Underdogs ranked 7th or higher yet underdogs to unranked team are 157-110-4 (FSU) and 21-5 last two years
First meeting many turnovers Virginia 18, FSU 16
Points tough to come by for both
Virginia 4th in defensive efficiency, while FSU 31st on offense
FSU 37th in defensive efficiency, Virginia 236 on offense
Virginia slowest pace in nation
Computer projections from three independent sources: FSU 55-54; 57-56; 57-55
The pick: Florida State
NBA injuries
Joel Embiid, PHI vs GS, Questionable
Ricky Rubio, PHX at DAL, Questionable
Jae Crowder, MEM vs DEN, Questionable
Jayson Tatum, BOS at MIA, Doubtful