Fantasy NBA and Sports Betting Injuries, Free Expert Picks

Major betting intel and free picks for Thursday, February 6. Free winners are from Grandmaster Joe Duffy. 

Critical injuries:

Zion Williamson will play for New Orleans

Russell Westbrook is questionable for Houston 

Anthony Davis probable for Lakers

New Orleans (-4,231.5) vs. Chicago

New Orleans 10-15 SU road, Chicago 11-15 SU home

When road team laying at least two on road despite not having better home/road splits they are 1600-1353-57 for 54.2 percent but nearly 250 games above .500

815-663-31 if won previous same-season meeting 

Zion Williamson first seven games, he is averaging 19.6 points and 8.0 rebounds while shooting 55% from the field and 44% on 3-point attempts

Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak are 634-495-15

NEW ORLEANS 

Philadelphia vs. Milwaukee (-9, 227)

Big quality underdogs on road are a fade of 771-612-36

Wake-up call as Simmons called Sixers soft 

Teams that are substantially better at home than on the road, actually good road bet and bad home bet (Sixers)

1023-959-44 only 51.8 but warning to not outsmart yourself 

Huge home favorites in same-season revenge of blowout loss 234-181-11 (Milwaukee)

Fade better than .600 teams off 30-point loss and losers of at least three straight is 5-1

Sixers first of back-to-back games

Sixers fourth straight road game, though spread over eight days

Road underdogs off three straight road losses are 320-241-17 (Sixers)

Big home favorites in same season revenge of blowout loss 752-628-35 including 213-139-8 since 2013

MILWAUKEE

San Antonio vs. Portland (-3,232)

Blazers first of back-to-back games

Third of eight-straight road games for Spurs, while Portland second game in five days

Both teams off loss 25 or more goes over 57.6 percent of time

OVER 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Wisconsin Green Bay; Portland Trail Blazers, New Orleans Pelicans 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: UT Rio Grande Valley, Pepperdine; Portland Trail Blazers, Orlando 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Stanford opened +1 now -1

Author: Joe Duffy

Joe Duffy has been a pro handicapper since the 1980s on the score phones. His articles, videos, and podcasts on sports betting all all over the internet.

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