Joe Duffy with four free winning sports picks.
NCST at UNC (-2.5, 145)
UNC seven straight conference losses
UNC 77 percent of scoring from senior, including 85 percent last five games
Home teams lost seven or more straight good fade at 560-515-29, even better in conference play
Independent computer predictions: NC State 73-72, 72-72; 73-72
The pick: NC State
Iowa at MSU (-7, 152)
Iowa F Luka Garza 23.7 ppg, 9.6 rebounds
-MSU Marcus Bingham Jr. has played well against elite big men
Michigan State can counter with small ball line-up and make Garza run
MSU get support from players other than Cassius Winston or Xavier Tillman versus Nebraska
Look for MSU to go with smaller line-up and build on secondary scoring
Independent computer predictions: MSU 79-73;79-71; 78-73
The pick: OVER
Kanas St. at Baylor) (-15, 124.5)
Kansas State lost eight straight road by 10 ppg
Baylor among best defense and K State horrible on offense
Fading teams off loss, snapping a winning streak of 12 or more is 114-77-5 (Kansas State)
Large underdogs in a game expected to be low-scoring 305-264-14
Computer likes fave
Independent computer predictions: Baylor 70-53; 70-52, 72-49
The pick: Kansas State
Duke (-11, 150) at Wake Forest
Duke 12-0 series by 15 ppg
Devils freshman 55 percent of scoring including 62 last five games
Teams that won first meeting by at least 31 are 741-637-23 (Duke)
-54.5 percent when laying at least nine points in rematch (though better if rematch is at home)
Independent computer predictions: Duke 80-70; 84-69, 80-71
The pick: Duke
