Top expert pick: Six college football winners up for Friday and Saturday. This includes Wise Guy side and total on the SEC Championship Game, first time we have had a Wise Guy on both the side and total is this doozie. Four totals, two sides. Four NFL Wise Guys, one Major. PicksDepot winners immediately
Free winning pick from the best ever, Joe Duffy.
Western Kentucky-UTSA UNDER 72.5
Yeah, models have become en vogue in recent years. Some are worthless, but a pro gambler I’ve known for years gave me life-changing info when he told me which public ones are and are not worth a shizzle. The best power ratings have the UNDER as 8.6 percent edge and a power line of 66.7. That is a strong variance, especially this late in year. Our top simulator has it going under 62 percent of the time, with 68 points projected.
Despite the high total, UTSA does hold teams to .4 yards per rush below their normal average while WKU keeps opponents to .4 yards per rush, .3 yards per pass, and .2 yards per play below what they normally get. It’s never over until it’s under, so we may have to sweat it out. But it stays under.