Top expert pick: Six college football winners up for Friday and Saturday. This includes Wise Guy side and total on the SEC Championship Game, first time we have had a Wise Guy on both the side and total is this doozie. Four totals, two sides. Four NFL Wise Guys, one Major. PicksDepot winners immediately
Free winning pick from the best ever, Joe Duffy.
Western Kentucky-UTSA UNDER 72.5
Yeah, models have become en vogue in recent years. Some are worthless, but a pro gambler I’ve known for years gave me life-changing info when he told me which public ones are and are not worth a shizzle. The best power ratings have the UNDER as 8.6 percent edge and a power line of 66.7. That is a strong variance, especially this late in year. Our top simulator has it going under 62 percent of the time, with 68 points projected.
Despite the high total, UTSA does hold teams to .4 yards per rush below their normal average while WKU keeps opponents to .4 yards per rush, .3 yards per pass, and .2 yards per play below what they normally get. It’s never over until it’s under, so we may have to sweat it out. But it stays under.
Look for Clemson to leave offensive starters in a long time after scoring just three in their only game against Power 5 team. Tech lost to
Huge momentum angle based on teams off rout wins. Yes, Tech also off 28-point win, but that’s a bit short of our threshold and it is even better if team we are betting on is a big home favorite. Plus, though if Clemson runs the table, they are still very likely in the playoffs, it’s too early to assume. Clemson already in style points territory.
Northern Illinois. Of course, Clemson lost a ton from last year on offense, but they are infinitely better and have reasons to run it up.
Joe Duffy has four Saturday college football (more coming) two Wise Guys led by ABC Interconfernce Total of the Year. Seven NFL. Get them at PicksDepot.com
Yes, I’m fired up for football, but let’s win a ton of money in MLB first.Two Wise Guys, two Majors, all night. The two Wise Guys have many of the same metrics that gave you Houston UNDER as AL Total of the Year last night. Bankroll building for a huge weekend. Get the PicksDepot winners immediately
OAKLAND (KAPRIELIAN -1.5) Detroit (Peralta)
It is one of the strongest angles in gambling history in using odds relative to recent numbers weaponizing the oddsmakers knowledge against them is up four digits based on total net units won at one-unit per bet minus juice. Taking advantage of oddsmaker same series adjustments is up nearly 780 units. Away teams even better and away favorites are 12.1 ROI on the runline.
Holy hell. Dogs are going to bark all day long. Start out withWeekday Underdog Game of the Year during the day, then get three MLB Majors for night led by at least one Juicy Lucy. Juicy Lucies are either moneyline or runlines in which we get +140 or more. PicksDepot.com has the winners
Washington-Miami UNDER 7.5 (Gray-Cabrera)
This is the lowest total either team has seen recently and easily Josiah Gray’s lowest total of the year. Sounds like an easy over, right? Nope.
The Nats last seven games have seen six totals of 9 or more, the other 8.5. Miami has had five straight of 8.5 or more. Angle that compares the current total to recent ones and uses that knowledge against them goes under 3129-2412-284. Comparing current total to season average goes under 2020-1536-221.
Josiah Gray hasn’t had a total of less than 8.5 all year. But when a pitcher has a total less than previous starts, it goes under 3155-2392-246. Several combo angles, but one that combines pitcher and team ones goes under 424-257-35 including 66-28-1 this season.
Orioles 5-32 -24.1 units off 4 straight losses
Rockies 4-27 -24.4 units road versus opponent averaging .6 or fewer errors per game
Marlins 9-33 -21.5 units after scoring 2 or fewer runs
Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is +154.64. Arizona 6-1 the last seven. Yes, they are were at home, but this is a bad team, clearly not “quitting” as some people foolishly think and carrying momentum making our super system stronger. They were dogs of 140 or more in every game in that seven game stretch. They are hitting a whopping .366 last seven games with an .855 OPS. Our power line says Arizona should only be getting 140, which is a 3.8 percent edge.
Strong NFL preseason bet, MLB runline on the Friday portfolio. Joe Duffy is widely accepted as the top college and pro football handicapper in history, hands down. Lock into at least the three-day pick pack. Big NFL day tomorrow, plus so many of our best MLB systems based on same-series adjustments all at PicksDepot.com
Scorephone style trends report for the games of Sunday, August 28, 2021. These are from PicksDepot.com home of the world’s best sports picks. Betting ATS, over-under, and moneyline angles for Nebraska-Illinois, Hawaii-UCLA, UConn-Fresno St., Texas El Paso-New Mexico St.
UTEP-New Mexico State
UTEP 12-5 favorites but 8-23 on turf both records ats
New Mexico State 5-16 underdogs ats
Favorite 7-0 in series ats
UTEP 3-16 SU run -12.37 moneyline
Nebraska 2-6 favorites ats
Nebraska under 6 straight road
Illinois 3-7 overall ats; 4-13 on Saturdays
Though Illinois 5-6 SU as underdogs on Saturdays, they are up 31.43 units on moneyline
Includes +22.1 units to Wisconsin and 5.18 to Nebraska
UConn has lost nine in a row SU on moneyline
Fresno only 5-10 SU on Saturdays -8.34 units
Hawaii 14-9 SU last 23 for +5.38 units on moneyline
Many of our angles say when the oddsmakers say it is their most winnable game in a while to go with what the oddsmakers are telling you. Yes, Royals have pulled off consecutive upsets, but six straight games they’ve been underdogs of 180 or more and eight straight of 155 or more. An angle that says to go with underdogs in a game in which the oddsmakers give them the most respect in recent play is 271-202 for 98.21 and an ROI of 20.6. Teams off consecutive wins of 180 or more are 45-42 +31.92 units and 36.3 ROI as long as they are not home dogs. Accuscore has KC +7.1 percent value.
There is a clear-cut top side and equally obvious top total for Friday. After months of research, we spent a lot of money getting the best computer simulations, power ratings, and models. Get the PicksDepot winners immediately
Top expert pick:Virtually everyone in the gambling industry, both sides of the window, will agree that Joe Duffy is the premier football handicapper who has ever lived. Hall-of-Fame Game side. Get night MLB and two day winners from Grandmaster. Get the PicksDepot winners immediately
Steelers (-2, 33)-Cowboys
64 percent of bets and 84 percent of money on Steelers.
Steelers QB rotation: Mason Rudolph, Josh Dobbs, Dwayne Haskins. Haskins is looking very good in training camp and expected to battle for the No. 2 spot behind Ben Roethlisberger
Steelers OL is completely rebuilt after Maurkice Pouncey retired and Matt Feiler left
Pittsburgh made coaching changes on offensive side of ball and drafted Najee Harris in first round to improve running game
Cowboys QB rotation: Garrett Gilbert, Cooper Rush, and Ben DiNucci