Free Picks, Betting Notes – Rated USA Sportsbooks

NBA Betting News and Notes

Not a big NBA portfolio, but critical info on tonight’s card.

Jaylen Brown, Boston, will play at Houston

Brandon Ingram, New Orleans will play at home versus Portland

Zach LaVine, Chicago, probable at Washington

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Washington Wizards; Northern Illinois

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Washington Wizards; Air Force

Free winner:

NBA

LA CLIPPERS -1.5 Philadelphia

Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak 639-499-16.

Contrarian Pick Today, Free Computer System Bet, NBA Injuries

NBA injuries

Trae Young, ATL @ BOS, probable

Jimmy Butler, MIA @ SAC, doublful

Kristaps Porzingis, DAL @ WAS, questionable

Kemba Walker, BOS vs ATL, Confirmed

Jaylen Brown, BOS vs ATL, Out

Josh Richardson, PHI vs MEM , questionable

Richaun Holmes, SAC vs MIA, questionable

Jonas Valanciunas, MEM @ PHI, questionable

TJ Warren, IND vs TOR, questionable

Victor Oladipo, IND vs TOR, questionable

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Miami Heat;

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Houston Rockets; Penn

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Miami Heat opened -1.5 now +1.5, Philadelphia -7 to -5, Dallas -2 to -4

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy with a free pick

Free winner on:

DALLAS -2 Washington

Away favorites off loss under specific situations is 718-551-22.

Fantasy NBA and Sports Betting Injuries, Free Expert Picks

Major betting intel and free picks for Thursday, February 6. Free winners are from Grandmaster Joe Duffy.

Critical injuries:

Zion Williamson will play for New Orleans

Russell Westbrook is questionable for Houston

Anthony Davis probable for Lakers

New Orleans (-4,231.5) vs. Chicago

New Orleans 10-15 SU road, Chicago 11-15 SU home

When road team laying at least two on road despite not having better home/road splits they are 1600-1353-57 for 54.2 percent but nearly 250 games above .500

815-663-31 if won previous same-season meeting

Zion Williamson first seven games, he is averaging 19.6 points and 8.0 rebounds while shooting 55% from the field and 44% on 3-point attempts

Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak are 634-495-15

NEW ORLEANS

Philadelphia vs. Milwaukee (-9, 227)

Big quality underdogs on road are a fade of 771-612-36

Wake-up call as Simmons called Sixers soft

Teams that are substantially better at home than on the road, actually good road bet and bad home bet (Sixers)

1023-959-44 only 51.8 but warning to not outsmart yourself

Huge home favorites in same-season revenge of blowout loss 234-181-11 (Milwaukee)

Fade better than .600 teams off 30-point loss and losers of at least three straight is 5-1

Sixers first of back-to-back games

Sixers fourth straight road game, though spread over eight days

Road underdogs off three straight road losses are 320-241-17 (Sixers)

Big home favorites in same season revenge of blowout loss 752-628-35 including 213-139-8 since 2013

MILWAUKEE

San Antonio vs. Portland (-3,232)

Blazers first of back-to-back games

Third of eight-straight road games for Spurs, while Portland second game in five days

Both teams off loss 25 or more goes over 57.6 percent of time

OVER

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Wisconsin Green Bay; Portland Trail Blazers, New Orleans Pelicans

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: UT Rio Grande Valley, Pepperdine; Portland Trail Blazers, Orlando

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Stanford opened +1 now -1

Monday NBA and College Basketball Sharp Action

Free winner from Joe Duffy’s Picks

PHILADELPHIA +2.5 Miami

Records suggest road team should be bigger dog, use the oddsmakers’ knowledge against them to the tune of 684-570-21.

NBA

Trae Young, ATL vs BOS, questionable

Evan Fournier ORL @ CHR, questionable

PJ Washington, CHR vs ORL, questionable

De’Andre Hunter, ATL vs BOS , questionable

Julius Randle, NY @ CLE, probable

Marcus Morris, NY @ CLE, questionable

D’Angelo Russell, GS @ WAS, questionable

Ricky Rubio, PHX @ BKN, probable

Marcus Smart BOS @ ATL, Out

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Boston Celtics; Bayor

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Memphis Grizzlies

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Cleveland form +1 to -2, Memphis -6.5 to -9.5

Sharp Betting Report, Free Pick January 31

The Friday super sharp betting report with free pick, sportsbook consensus including both NBA consensus, college basketball consensus.

NBA injuries:

Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL vs DEN, Confirmed

Anthony Davis LAL vs POR, Questionable

Clint Capela, HOU vs DAL, Out

Marc Gasol, TOR @ DET, Out

Tim Hardaway Jr., DAL @ HOU, Probable

JaVale McGee LAL vs POR, Confirmed

Free pick from Joe Duffy.

COLUMBIA +14.5 Yale

Regression to the mean angle is 982-800. Horrible teams on the road are 1734-1523 under specific situations that apply. When both angles apply, it is 273-200 for 57.7 percent.

Consensus picks:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Toronto, Oklahoma City; Harvard

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Brooklyn, New Orleans; Princeton

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: New Orleans opened -4.5 now -7.5, Memphis Grizzlies opened -9.5 to -12.5; Brown opened -10 now -7.5

Free NBA Betting Picks, Fantasy NBA Injuries

Betting Brandon Lange picks? We will get you out of that hole. Ben Taylor’s Bet With Ben spamming you? Here is your winning picks relief.

What a Thursday in NBA betting. These are news and notes from Joe Duffy, America’s only Grandmaster Sports Handicapper. Today’s news and notes starts out with intel for fantasy players and gamblers alike.

NBA injuries

Patrick Beverley, LAC vs SAC, is probable

Marvin Bagley, SAC @ LAC is out

Al Horford, PHI @ ATL, is questionable

Paul George, LAC vs SAC is probable

Jayson Tatum, BOS vs GS is questionable

Utah-Denver (-1.5, 215)

Pick: UTAH

Charlotte-Washington (-3.5, 227)

Jordan McRea out for Washington

Washington 6^th game since 20^th, but just fourth for Charlotte

Bad teams as favorites of at least 3 good bets

Even better at 3.5

WASHINGTON

Philadelphia (-7.5, 228)-Atlanta

DeAndre Bembry for Hawks is doubtful

More playing time for Brandon Goodwin

Alex Len out for Hawks

Miss third straight game

Bruno Fernando doubtful for Hawks

Missed Tuesday

With injuries, Hawks will go with smaller, quicker line-up with John Collins at center

Both Mike Scott and Al Horford questionable

Joel Embiid returned

Atlanta will get points with quick line-up but Embiid unstoppable down low

No free pick

Toronto (-10, 220)-Cleveland

OG Anunoby will play for Toronto

Patrick McCaw questionable for Raptors

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson will miss second straight game

Terrence Davis and Matt Thomas will see extra time for Raptors

Marc Gasol out for Toronto

Serge Ibaka gets start

Toronto front end of back-to-back

Toronto fat and happy? Road faves of -8.5 or more on at least eight-game winning streak 50-26-2

30-10 since 2009

Pick: TORONTO

Sports Gambling Report: Picks, Super Computer Systems Betting, NBA Injury Report

Betting picks report for Tuesday, January 28, 2020.Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has four free picks in college basketball. Intel for both fantasy football and sports wagering.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: New Orleans; Villanova, Florida, Virginia Tech, Rutgers

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Golden State, Atlanta, Cleveland UNDER; Virginia Tech, Villanova, George Mason

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Memphis Grizzlies; Georgetown

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none

Free winning college basketball picks:

Pitt at Duke (-16, 137)

Duke 5^th on defense, Pitt 115^th on offense

Duke 2^nd offense, Pitt 56^th defense

Inconsistent freshman Matthew Hurt, 6-9 big man getting into groove for Duke

Pittsburgh little depth in front court and Duke will attack inside

Blue Devils wear them down

Computer projections from three independent sources: Duke 80-57; 77-60; 75-59

Nova (-2,143) at St John’s

Nova 19^th in the nation on offensive efficiency, while St. Johns 38^th on defense

Nova 46^th on defense. St. John’s 100^th on offensive efficiency

Red Storm has won 2-of-3 SU in series

Villanova Jermaine Samuels (11.1 points, 5.0 rebounds) is questionable

Home teams that have won three or less of previous 8 yet at least 8 games over .500 463-374-20 (Red Storm)

432-337-16 if not getting more than four points

Computer projections from three independent sources: Villanova 72-70; 73-71; 72-69

The pick: St. John’s +2

The pick: Duke -16

Purdue at Rutgers (-3, 123)

Rutgers No. 6 defense, Purdue 51^st offense

Purdue 11^th on defense, Rutgers 72^nd on offense

Hunted rather than hunter, top 25 for first time since 1979

Big home court edge

Computer projections from three independent sources: Rutgers 58-55; 61-59; 63-58

The pick: UNDER

FSU at UVA (Virginia -1, 115)

Virginia needs signature win as on bubble

Underdogs ranked 7^th or higher yet underdogs to unranked team are 157-110-4 (FSU) and 21-5 last two years

First meeting many turnovers Virginia 18, FSU 16

Points tough to come by for both

Virginia 4^th in defensive efficiency, while FSU 31^st on offense

FSU 37^th in defensive efficiency, Virginia 236 on offense

Virginia slowest pace in nation

Computer projections from three independent sources: FSU 55-54; 57-56; 57-55

The pick: Florida State

NBA injuries

Joel Embiid, PHI vs GS, Questionable

Ricky Rubio, PHX at DAL, Questionable

Jae Crowder, MEM vs DEN, Questionable

Jayson Tatum, BOS at MIA, Doubtful

Sports Betting Information: Free Picks, Sportsbook Consensus

Free pick from Joe Duffy’s Picks is:

WASHINGTON +1 Atlanta

Road teams playing a bad team and in a bad stretch of defensive efforts are undervalued at 126-74-1. Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak are 644-507-15.

NBA Injuries for fantasy sports player and those who bet with US based sportsbooks.

James Harden, HOU @ DEN is questionable

Jrue Holiday, NO vs BOS is probable

Jae Crowder, MEM vs PHX is doubtful

Jayson Tatum, BOS @ NO is questionable

Jaylen Brown, BOS @ NO is questionable

Patrick Beverley, LAC @ ORL is questionable

Betting inside info from Joe Duffy’s clipboard.

CBB

Michigan St (-4.5. 140) at Minnesota

Regression to mean angle is 971-798-30 (Michigan State)

MSU 9-10 ats -.7

Minnesota 12-7 +4.9

Winning percentage is better in conference play

MSU 5^th in offensive efficiency while Minnesota #51 on defense

Minnesota 14^th in offensive efficiency with MSU #21 on defense

Maryland at Indiana (-2 -115, 131)

Maryland matches up well on defense ranked #7, compared to Indiana #43 on offense

Indiana 45^th defensive efficiency, while Indiana #52 on offense

Both been much better at home than road

Indiana under 7-1 last eight

Teams under at least 7-of-8 do stay under 4631-4403-142

NBA

Brooklyn (-1, 221.5)-New York

Nets playing back-to-back after playing in Detroit last night

Toronto (-2, 223.5)-San Antonio

San Antonio first of back-to-back games

Toronto won six straight but last loss to Spurs

Favorites in at least six game winning streaks and in revenge are 146-124-8

Sunday sharp report:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Memphis Grizzlies; Drake

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Toronto Raptors, Memphis Grizzlies; Drake, Houston Cougars

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Portland, Denver; Evansville

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: NY Knicks opened +1.5 now -1.5; Manhattan opened -1 now +1.5

Super Bowl News and Notes, Niners-Chiefs

Niners vs. Chiefs

82 percent of bets, 84 percent of money on OVER

52 percent of bets, 52 percent of money on Kansas City

Teams that won at least 9-of-10 SU yet not laying at least a FG are a go-against 48-23 including 2-1 in Super Bowl (San Francisco)

Super Bowl teams with lower winning percentage but not big dog are 11-1 (KC)

Fade better rushing team late in season and playoffs is 86-52-2 (favors KC)

In the playoffs, fade drastically improved teams from previous year is 30-15

San Francisco gets 7.9 yards per pass teams normally allowing 6.8

KC passes for 7.9 yards per pass teams normally allowing 6.9

Niners hold teams to .8 yards per play below normal average, KC .2 below

Tevin Coleman RB questionable

137 rushing attempts for 544 yards, 6 TDs, 180 yards receiving

ATS trends:

KC 8-0 ats explosion

OU trends:

San Francisco over 9-3

Teaser:

KC 38-1 on ten-point teaser when averaging 27 or more previous three games