Critical College Basketball Betting News For Gamblers

News and notes section from Joe Duffy, Grandmaster Sports Handicapper. 

Memphis at Cincy (-6.5, 139)

Precious Achiuwa Memphis limited Saturday to 18 minutes with injury 

—His 12 double-doubles top among freshman in nation 

–Questionable 

–Since 12-21 stepped up his game

Cincinnati had five-game winning streak snapped in OT

—Fading teams off an overtime loss snapping at least a 5-game win streak is 95-71 if team betting is not off OT game (Memphis)

—3 or more game winning streak 253-170-5

Independent computer predictions:  Cincinnati 72-65, 71-65, 72-66

The pick: Memphis 

Iowa at Indiana (-1, 149)

Indiana on 4-game losing streak to fall on wrong side of bubble 

Teams with winning percentage of .650 or higher on a 4-game losing streak solid 61-48-1 (Indiana)

Independent computer predictions: Iowa 76-75, 76-73, 75-73

The pick: Iowa

Colorado at Oregon (-3.5, 139)

Oregon’s Payton Pritchard outstanding all-around player but McKinley Wright is able to guard him well one-on-one, making it tough for other players to beat them

CU’s bench just 15 points last two games, but been erratic all year, so capable of bouncing back

Colorado has been struggling in first half lately, but making halftime adjustments 

Oregon gets Francis Okoro back after missing his size when he returned to Nigeria for father’s funeral 

But Ducks N’Faly Dante, 6-11 monster still out

Independent computer predictions: Oregon 71-68, 69-66, 72-69

The pick: Colorado 

Washington State at UCLA (-8, 137)

Washington State exceeded last season’s win total behind play of CJ Elleby

Independent computer predictions: USC 69-66, UCLA 70-64, 70-65

The pick: Washington State 

NBA Free Pick, Winning Bets, Contrarian Intel

Free NBA pick:

ORLANDO -8.5 Atlanta

Big home favorites in same season revenge of blowout loss are 753-629-35. Yes, Atlanta has young legs but they are traveling off a double-overtime game last night. The record is 214-140-8 since 2012. 

Contrarian and public betting moves. Joe Duffy’s super sharp cheat sheet for Monday from Joe Duffy’s clipboard. 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Florida State 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Detroit Pistons, Minnesota Timberwolves OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Milwaukee opened -14.5 now -10.5, Orlando -6 now -5

Pro Gambler’s Betting Notes For Tuesday

Winning picks from top sports betting expert Joe Duffy, expert handicapper   

Penn State at Michigan State (-8.5, 142.5)

Michigan State sloppy with ball and face top defense in forcing turnovers in Penn State

MSU off bad game offensively in which only Cassius Winston and Rocket Watts scored in double figures

Independent computer predictions: Michigan State 76-68; 76-69; 75-69

Pick: Penn State 

Rutgers at Maryland (-7.5, 130.5)

Rutgers sophomore Ron Harper Jr. is erratic but capable of overtaking game

Rutgers 6-11 center Myles Johnson average 9 ppg 

Defenses match up better for both teams

Rutgers 1-6 away from home SU, Maryland undefeated at Xfinity Center 

Independent computer predictions: Maryland 65-60; 69-61; 68-59

Pick: Rutgers 

Pick: Kentucky 

Duke (-15.5, 144) at BC

Duke massive mismatch on both ends of course, Duke 2nd in offensive efficiency versus 120 defense

BC 218th offense versus 9th defense

Seniors 48 percent of BC’s scoring, Duke 65 percent of Duke’s points

Duke forward Wendell Moore second game back in nearly a month

Independent computer predictions: Duke 86-62; 81-64; 79-64

Pick: Duke 

Miss State at UK (-5,140)

Miss State six straight losses to ranked foes 

UK freshman account for 54 percent of points, slightly more last five games led by Ashton Hagens who scored or assisted on 45 percent of their points last five games

Kentucky has won its last 11 home games, scoring an average of 77.2 points while giving up 62.9

Miss State tops nation on offensive rebounds 

Independent computer predictions: Kentucky 70-69; 72-68; 72-67

Free Pick College Basketball, Key NBA Injury Report

Added rotation college basketball winner in college basketball from superstar Joe Duffy. 

ARKANSAS PINE-BLUFF +15 Texas Southern 

Horrible road teams on the road is 1727-1514-67. Underdogs in a stretch of low-scoring games are 555-438-18. When both apply, it is 195-131-7. 

Contrarian and consensus intel: 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Miami Heat, Dallas

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Minnesota Timberwolves 

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Detroit Pistons

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none in NBA or college basketball 

Critical fantasy NBA and sports betting picks injury info. 

Tony Snell, DET vs CLE , questionable

Derrick Rose, DET vs CLE, probable

Jimmy Butler, MIA vs ORL, questionable

Bam Adebayo, MIA vs ORL, probable