Friday College Basketball Gambling Notes

Yale (-4.5, 137) at Princeton

The Tigers have allowed just 63.7 points per game across six conference games, an improvement from the 76.7 per game they gave up in non-conference play.

Princeton has won its last five home games, scoring an average of 71.4 points while giving up 54.8.

Yale defense has held opposing offenses to a field goal percentage of 37.9 percent, the 11th-best mark in the country. Princeton has allowed opponents to shoot 47 percent from the field through 19 games 

Independent computer predictions: Yale 72-66, 71-65, 75-67 (all by at least 6)

The pick: YALE 

Akron (-5, 155) at Central Michigan

Akron has gone 4-2 in their past six games. In those wins, they’ve allowed 40 percent shooting. 

Top two defensive teams in conference 

UA will play four of their next five games on the road. So far, they’re 5-3 away from Rhodes Arena

Independent computer predictions: Akron 82-76, 82-77, 81-76 (All 157 or more)

The pick: OVER 

UIC at Wright St (-11, 148)

Wright State big fave on revenge, but no edge either way

Wright State has won its last nine home games, scoring an average of 86.6 points while giving up 68.9.

Wright State great at protecting ball, while UIC not good forcing turnovers 

Independent computer predictions: Wright State 79-67,81-66, 78-68

Rider at Siena (-5.5, 148)

Siena 10-0 SU home

On ESPNU

Independent computer predictions: Siena 78-73, 79-72, 76-72

Critical College Basketball Betting News For Gamblers

News and notes section from Joe Duffy, Grandmaster Sports Handicapper. 

Memphis at Cincy (-6.5, 139)

Precious Achiuwa Memphis limited Saturday to 18 minutes with injury 

—His 12 double-doubles top among freshman in nation 

–Questionable 

–Since 12-21 stepped up his game

Cincinnati had five-game winning streak snapped in OT

—Fading teams off an overtime loss snapping at least a 5-game win streak is 95-71 if team betting is not off OT game (Memphis)

—3 or more game winning streak 253-170-5

Independent computer predictions:  Cincinnati 72-65, 71-65, 72-66

The pick: Memphis 

Iowa at Indiana (-1, 149)

Indiana on 4-game losing streak to fall on wrong side of bubble 

Teams with winning percentage of .650 or higher on a 4-game losing streak solid 61-48-1 (Indiana)

Independent computer predictions: Iowa 76-75, 76-73, 75-73

The pick: Iowa

Colorado at Oregon (-3.5, 139)

Oregon’s Payton Pritchard outstanding all-around player but McKinley Wright is able to guard him well one-on-one, making it tough for other players to beat them

CU’s bench just 15 points last two games, but been erratic all year, so capable of bouncing back

Colorado has been struggling in first half lately, but making halftime adjustments 

Oregon gets Francis Okoro back after missing his size when he returned to Nigeria for father’s funeral 

But Ducks N’Faly Dante, 6-11 monster still out

Independent computer predictions: Oregon 71-68, 69-66, 72-69

The pick: Colorado 

Washington State at UCLA (-8, 137)

Washington State exceeded last season’s win total behind play of CJ Elleby

Independent computer predictions: USC 69-66, UCLA 70-64, 70-65

The pick: Washington State 

NBA Betting News and Notes

Not a big NBA portfolio, but critical info on tonight’s card. 

Jaylen Brown, Boston, will play at Houston

Brandon Ingram, New Orleans will play at home versus Portland 

Zach LaVine, Chicago, probable at Washington

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Washington Wizards; Northern Illinois

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Washington Wizards; Air Force

Free winner: 

NBA

LA CLIPPERS -1.5 Philadelphia

Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak 639-499-16. 

NBA Free Pick, Winning Bets, Contrarian Intel

Free NBA pick:

ORLANDO -8.5 Atlanta

Big home favorites in same season revenge of blowout loss are 753-629-35. Yes, Atlanta has young legs but they are traveling off a double-overtime game last night. The record is 214-140-8 since 2012. 

Contrarian and public betting moves. Joe Duffy’s super sharp cheat sheet for Monday from Joe Duffy’s clipboard. 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Florida State 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Detroit Pistons, Minnesota Timberwolves OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Milwaukee opened -14.5 now -10.5, Orlando -6 now -5

Contrarian Pick Today, Free Computer System Bet, NBA Injuries

NBA injuries

Trae Young, ATL @ BOS, probable

Jimmy Butler, MIA @ SAC, doublful

Kristaps Porzingis, DAL @ WAS, questionable

Kemba Walker, BOS vs ATL, Confirmed

Jaylen Brown, BOS vs ATL, Out

Josh Richardson, PHI vs MEM , questionable

Richaun Holmes, SAC vs MIA, questionable

Jonas Valanciunas, MEM @ PHI, questionable

TJ Warren, IND vs TOR, questionable

Victor Oladipo, IND vs TOR, questionable

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Miami Heat; 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Houston Rockets; Penn

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Miami Heat opened -1.5 now +1.5, Philadelphia -7 to -5, Dallas -2 to -4

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy with a free pick

Free winner on:

DALLAS -2 Washington

Away favorites off loss under specific situations is 718-551-22.

Fantasy NBA and Sports Betting Injuries, Free Expert Picks

Major betting intel and free picks for Thursday, February 6. Free winners are from Grandmaster Joe Duffy. 

Critical injuries:

Zion Williamson will play for New Orleans

Russell Westbrook is questionable for Houston 

Anthony Davis probable for Lakers

New Orleans (-4,231.5) vs. Chicago

New Orleans 10-15 SU road, Chicago 11-15 SU home

When road team laying at least two on road despite not having better home/road splits they are 1600-1353-57 for 54.2 percent but nearly 250 games above .500

815-663-31 if won previous same-season meeting 

Zion Williamson first seven games, he is averaging 19.6 points and 8.0 rebounds while shooting 55% from the field and 44% on 3-point attempts

Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak are 634-495-15

NEW ORLEANS 

Philadelphia vs. Milwaukee (-9, 227)

Big quality underdogs on road are a fade of 771-612-36

Wake-up call as Simmons called Sixers soft 

Teams that are substantially better at home than on the road, actually good road bet and bad home bet (Sixers)

1023-959-44 only 51.8 but warning to not outsmart yourself 

Huge home favorites in same-season revenge of blowout loss 234-181-11 (Milwaukee)

Fade better than .600 teams off 30-point loss and losers of at least three straight is 5-1

Sixers first of back-to-back games

Sixers fourth straight road game, though spread over eight days

Road underdogs off three straight road losses are 320-241-17 (Sixers)

Big home favorites in same season revenge of blowout loss 752-628-35 including 213-139-8 since 2013

MILWAUKEE

San Antonio vs. Portland (-3,232)

Blazers first of back-to-back games

Third of eight-straight road games for Spurs, while Portland second game in five days

Both teams off loss 25 or more goes over 57.6 percent of time

OVER 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Wisconsin Green Bay; Portland Trail Blazers, New Orleans Pelicans 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: UT Rio Grande Valley, Pepperdine; Portland Trail Blazers, Orlando 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Stanford opened +1 now -1

Pro Gambler’s Betting Notes For Tuesday

Winning picks from top sports betting expert Joe Duffy, expert handicapper   

Penn State at Michigan State (-8.5, 142.5)

Michigan State sloppy with ball and face top defense in forcing turnovers in Penn State

MSU off bad game offensively in which only Cassius Winston and Rocket Watts scored in double figures

Independent computer predictions: Michigan State 76-68; 76-69; 75-69

Pick: Penn State 

Rutgers at Maryland (-7.5, 130.5)

Rutgers sophomore Ron Harper Jr. is erratic but capable of overtaking game

Rutgers 6-11 center Myles Johnson average 9 ppg 

Defenses match up better for both teams

Rutgers 1-6 away from home SU, Maryland undefeated at Xfinity Center 

Independent computer predictions: Maryland 65-60; 69-61; 68-59

Pick: Rutgers 

Pick: Kentucky 

Duke (-15.5, 144) at BC

Duke massive mismatch on both ends of course, Duke 2nd in offensive efficiency versus 120 defense

BC 218th offense versus 9th defense

Seniors 48 percent of BC’s scoring, Duke 65 percent of Duke’s points

Duke forward Wendell Moore second game back in nearly a month

Independent computer predictions: Duke 86-62; 81-64; 79-64

Pick: Duke 

Miss State at UK (-5,140)

Miss State six straight losses to ranked foes 

UK freshman account for 54 percent of points, slightly more last five games led by Ashton Hagens who scored or assisted on 45 percent of their points last five games

Kentucky has won its last 11 home games, scoring an average of 77.2 points while giving up 62.9

Miss State tops nation on offensive rebounds 

Independent computer predictions: Kentucky 70-69; 72-68; 72-67

Monday NBA and College Basketball Sharp Action

Free winner from Joe Duffy’s Picks

PHILADELPHIA +2.5 Miami

Records suggest road team should be bigger dog, use the oddsmakers’ knowledge against them to the tune of 684-570-21. 

NBA

Trae Young, ATL vs BOS, questionable

Evan Fournier ORL @ CHR, questionable

PJ Washington, CHR vs ORL, questionable

De’Andre Hunter, ATL vs BOS , questionable

Julius Randle, NY @ CLE, probable

Marcus Morris, NY @ CLE, questionable

D’Angelo Russell, GS @ WAS, questionable

Ricky Rubio, PHX @ BKN, probable

Marcus Smart BOS @ ATL, Out

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Boston Celtics; Bayor

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Memphis Grizzlies

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Cleveland form +1 to -2, Memphis -6.5 to -9.5

Sharp Betting Report, Free Pick January 31

The Friday super sharp betting report with free pick, sportsbook consensus including both NBA consensus, college basketball consensus. 

NBA injuries:

Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL vs DEN, Confirmed

Anthony Davis LAL vs POR, Questionable

Clint Capela, HOU vs DAL, Out

Marc Gasol, TOR @ DET, Out

Tim Hardaway Jr., DAL @ HOU, Probable 

JaVale McGee LAL vs POR, Confirmed

Free pick from Joe Duffy. 

COLUMBIA +14.5 Yale

Regression to the mean angle is 982-800. Horrible teams on the road are 1734-1523 under specific situations that apply. When both angles apply, it is 273-200 for 57.7 percent. 

Consensus picks:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Toronto, Oklahoma City; Harvard

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Brooklyn, New Orleans; Princeton 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: New Orleans opened -4.5 now -7.5, Memphis Grizzlies opened -9.5 to -12.5; Brown opened -10 now -7.5