Free pick from Joe Duffy’s Picks is:
WASHINGTON +1 Atlanta
Road teams playing a bad team and in a bad stretch of defensive efforts are undervalued at 126-74-1. Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak are 644-507-15.
NBA Injuries for fantasy sports player and those who bet with US based sportsbooks.
James Harden, HOU @ DEN is questionable
Jrue Holiday, NO vs BOS is probable
Jae Crowder, MEM vs PHX is doubtful
Jayson Tatum, BOS @ NO is questionable
Jaylen Brown, BOS @ NO is questionable
Patrick Beverley, LAC @ ORL is questionable
Betting inside info from Joe Duffy’s clipboard.
CBB
Michigan St (-4.5. 140) at Minnesota
Regression to mean angle is 971-798-30 (Michigan State)
MSU 9-10 ats -.7
Minnesota 12-7 +4.9
Winning percentage is better in conference play
MSU 5th in offensive efficiency while Minnesota #51 on defense
Minnesota 14th in offensive efficiency with MSU #21 on defense
Maryland at Indiana (-2 -115, 131)
Maryland matches up well on defense ranked #7, compared to Indiana #43 on offense
Indiana 45th defensive efficiency, while Indiana #52 on offense
Both been much better at home than road
Indiana under 7-1 last eight
Teams under at least 7-of-8 do stay under 4631-4403-142
NBA
Brooklyn (-1, 221.5)-New York
Nets playing back-to-back after playing in Detroit last night
Toronto (-2, 223.5)-San Antonio
San Antonio first of back-to-back games
Toronto won six straight but last loss to Spurs
Favorites in at least six game winning streaks and in revenge are 146-124-8
Sunday sharp report:
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Memphis Grizzlies; Drake
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Toronto Raptors, Memphis Grizzlies; Drake, Houston Cougars
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Portland, Denver; Evansville
Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: NY Knicks opened +1.5 now -1.5; Manhattan opened -1 now +1.5